Data-driven F1 Fantasy analysis: points trends, value, consistency, and price predictions.
Overtakes score 1 fantasy point each — and cheap midfielders rack up the most. We analyzed 3 seasons: Pérez, Bearman and Magnussen lead at 5+ per race.
Set-and-forget teams live and die on consistency. We measured the week-to-week swing of every driver across 3 seasons. Russell and Hamilton are steadiest.
Balanced permanent circuits average 13.2 fantasy pts/race vs 11.1 on street tracks, and 4.38 overtakes vs 3.22. Here's how to rotate picks by track type.
F1 Fantasy points correlate just 0.189 with price changes. Our 2026 data shows ownership momentum, not raw score, predicts the next delta.
Premiums return 0.99 pts/$M vs 0.71 for budget picks across 1,396 driver-race records, and ownership predicts almost nothing. The data, decoded.
We analyzed 1,396 driver-race results: premium drivers returned 0.99 fantasy points per $M vs 0.71 for budget picks. Cheap isn't value — here's the data.
Ownership % predicts fantasy points with a 0.002 correlation — basically zero. The 10–25% owned band is the sweet spot at 15.3 avg pts. Here's the data.
Both qualifying and race results score in F1 Fantasy, but positions gained is the hidden multiplier. We analyzed 3 seasons of quali-to-race swing.
A DNF costs 20 fantasy points. We analyzed 3 seasons — Albon and Bortoleto retired in 1 of every 5 races, while Verstappen and Norris almost never did.
